Assuming that is possible (because that is the direction I would like for my story to take) what about the relationship between Belarus and Russia--would it cause the collapse of the Union State (which, from the research I've done, seems to be mostly a formality at the moment)? What about Belarus's energy resources? I've read that Russia has been trying to buy Belarusian oil refineries.
Research: I've read through lots of news articles about the protests in Belarus and about current Belarus-Russia relations as well as articles on Belarusian energy resources, and I've read the wikipedia article about the Union State. I also googled "future of Belarus" and "future of Union State," but if anything, I just feel more ignorant and confused than I did when I started research.
Uh, I'm not sure if this post is even coherent anymore, but any help would be very much appreciated!